This week we’ve been doing TPFs. Doing a TPF is a tool or app for the PFC brain — for reappraisal — for using cvs2bvs to escape from the box of our own thinking and to try to see other possible futures than the obvious one that simply matches our cvs past.
cvs2bvs, the Universal Brain Software, frees the brainuser to hop across parallel universes with tenpower. cvs2bvs does this by allowing the brainuser to switch from one parallel universe to another. From cvs .. x10 switch to … bvs.
A parallel universe is a possible future. At any particular moment you are heading to one possible future. But, you could escape from that possible future and head for a different possible future. We do this every day and every time we take a decision … or not!
At any particular moment in time (called NOW) it is usual to just go from our cvs and push it forward into the future, to defend the ‘rightness’ of our cvs. We simply go from cvc2cvs. But, there are many possible bvs futures, if only we could escape from our cvs … and go from cvs2bvs.
Usually, there is the most likely future which will turn out to be the logical decision you are most likely to take. In this brain app we call the most likely decision choice: cvs. We do this to draw attention to the fact that we may just be defending our past cvs. But, there are at least 3 other possible futures that we could consider if only we made the cvs2bvs effort to do so. Just to spell this out we’ll tag these three possible choices as follows: bvs #03, bvs #02 and bvs #01.
The TPF is the brain app for the PFC which shows that at any time you are faced with a decision there are always at least three possible futures from which to choose. You can do the TPF alone or it’s fun to do it with others. Click here again to take a second look at the 59 Second Course in Thinking …
Reviewing the TPF
When reviewing the use of the TPF think about these 5 principles:
- Other people may be able to see the future consequences of your decision more easily than yourself.
- It is important to know whether the future consequences are reversible or not.
- Immediate and long term futures may be opposite: the immediate future of a choice may be good and the long term future bad, or vice versa.
- You should look at the possible futures not only as they affect you but also as they affect other people as well.
- You can do a TPF to explore three possible futures before deciding which one you ought to start with.
DFQ #09: TPF Thought Experiments A or B:
TPF A: Just suppose a future in 2022 where your company marks its 1,000,000th client. What do you think could be its most popular product? (Do a 3-minute TPF)
TPF B: By 2022, in a possible future, your company has a client database of 250,000. Who are they? (Do a 3-minute TPF)
Choose either TPF A or TPF B and do the TPF here:
bvs #01
bvs #02
bvs #03
TPF B-
bvs 1- Farmers/Producers/Consultants we provide phenotyping/ genotyping services for specific animal traits which are of importance to industry
bvs 2- Start-up/ tech/product development companies who utilise our expertise and facilities to co develop and evaluate products
bvs 3- governments and the international scientific community who utilise our results and knowledge
TPF B
bvs#01 – A group of leading agronomists and farmers who are following science outcomes and utilising risk:reward models rather than low risk approaches.
bvs#02 – Technology companies/startups who are taking our scientific results and building a product that can disseminate the information an easy to use format and then control the supply chain to deliver required information/farm inputs to the farm at the appropriate time.
bvs#03 – consumers who demand an accreditation of sustainable farming which is only attained when the products produced are done through best practice farming models which are developed by the scientists.
Scenario B.
1. More small business dairy and crop farms have emerged, leading to more conscientious small farm owners with different farming styles.
2. Biosecurity funding has decreased, resulting in more pest and weed incursions. More management in different areas is needed to mitigate damage.
3. We broaden our services to include more members of the general public who wish to know about plant and animal farming techniques.
1. Every household, office buildings and commercial premises in Australia should be self-sufficient in power by using renewable sources like solar, wind and batteries for storage. This will have significant positive impact on the environment.
2. Robots with artificial intelligence for every agricultural industry, especially for fruit and vegetable picking. Robots can also be used for spot application of pesticide, water and fertiliser.
3. Genetically modified food and fibres, e.g. blue cotton for jeans, special bananas with in-built vaccines for kids, chocolate flavoured broccoli and cauliflower. Modified plants to extract precious metals like gold silver from disused mines. Also, plants to extract salts and heavy metals to reclaim agricultural lands.
TPF A – millionth client 2022
On the background that 150 years ago 10% of workers may have worked in agriculture and now this is around 1%? The traditional client base is decreasing, and the technology is increasing.. meaning greater leisure time..
bvs #01 hobby farms may increase greatly and require modular systems, advice.
bvs #02 vertically integrate the business – sell patented plants, fertilizer, advice, even farms, like Elders.
bvs #03 international agriculture quality assurance business like Lloyds – clients all over the world.
B
1. Avoid the “business as usual” model and forward plan to model cropping, forage and horticulture activities to appropriate landscapes (soil, water, temperature) based on modelling of the changing climate
2. Put caveats on “arable land”, a concept understood in Europe but never spoken of in this country. Do not develop arable land for anything other than agriculture. Food security in a changing in a changing political, health and climate scenarios is paramount.
3. Prepare the agricultural sector for a low carbon economy and greater technological inputs (energy, remote sensing, produce handling).
1. Increased productivity
2. Lower cost inputs/ investments
3. Future proofed
A
1. Improved crops and forages with improved quality, productivity, reduced environmental impact and climate resilience
2. Quality assured agricultural research and biotechnology with direct positive outcomes to local agriculture
3. A larger variety of locally grown sustainable, climate resilient and quality food accessible to all people (no inferior imports)
B
1. Farmers adopting advanced farming practices
2. Agronomists taking our research outcomes and delivering them to industry
3. Other scientists who build on our research to develop improved outcomes for industry
TPF A:
BVS1: Every world first product we deliver has had lifecycle analysis so that it forms part of a closed cycle that is without waste, without animal welfare issues and without any pollution potential (including packaging, fertiliser run-off, CH4 production).
BVS2: Our research and innovation delivers products that are designed to support as much food as possible being grown locally to population centres – including using vertical, rooftop and indoor spaces as well as nature strips and roadside verges. Do more with less close to home and share.
BVS3: We deliver world-firsts for biodiversity conservation in forestry as part of our agriculture role – that means switching the thinking from exploitation to protection, management and truly sustainable use that does not harm any other part of the environment.
A
1. The high throughput sensor technologies be adopted
2. Hybrid breeding product to increase yield
3. Genomic selection to increase genetic gain faster