Industry Tap article:

Knowledge Doubling Curve

Buckminster Fuller created the “Knowledge Doubling Curve”; he noticed that until 1900 human knowledge doubled approximately every century. By the end of World War II knowledge was doubling every 25 years. Today things are not as simple as different types of knowledge have different rates of growth. For example, nanotechnology knowledge is doubling every two years and clinical knowledge every 18 months. But on average human knowledge is doubling every 13 months.  According to IBM, the build out of  the “internet of things” will lead to the doubling of knowledge every 12 hours.

Human Brain Indexing Will Consume Several Billion Petabytes

In a recent lecture at Harvard University neuroscientist Jeff Lichtman, who is attempting to map the human brain, has calculated that several billion petabytes of data storage would be needed to index the entire human brain. The Internet is currently estimated to be 5 million terabytes (TB) of which Google has indexed roughly 200 TB or just .004% of its total size. The numbers involved are astounding especially when considering the size of the human brain and the number of neurons in it.

Brainbow Cerebellum

2 thoughts on “Knowledge Doubling Every 12 Months, Soon to be Every 12 Hours

  1. How can we be this amazing? Numbers and time. And still, it’s one leg at a time for britches; two legs for dresses and tunics. thank you Michael and friends.

  2. This reminds me of the quote by Albert Bartlett – emeritus Professor of Physics – University of Colorado – Boulder. “The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function”.

    Re: Human Brain Indexing – see “How to Make a Mind” The Futurist Magazine – March/April 2013. The article is about Ray Kurzweil’s ambition to map and emulate the human brain. It is a huge challenge. Kurzweil is the author of “How to Create a Mind” and has relatively recently been appointed the Director of Engineering at Google.

    It will be fascinating to see how this plays out in the next 2 or 3 Decades.

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